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The above four long-term technical indicators all show that the market trend has changed, from bears to cattle. As far as the general direction and technical indicators are concerned, the market is now on the road to a bull market, and I think the probability is 100%, and there is no contingency.In the past two months, domestic capital has flowed out by more than 1.5 trillion yuan. There are mainly three types of funds flowing out. First, some new investors who came in in October stopped playing. The second is that institutional funds run away, and the third is the reduction of industrial capital+size. In a word, institutions must be one of the forces of market smashing. This round of market is not that institutions don't believe in bull market, but that people don't believe in institutions. If they can't get money, they naturally have no market pricing power.1. Individual pension funds will be expanded to broad-based index products.

3. From September to December, MACD crosses the 0 axis from underwater, which is a signal that the trend turns from weak to strong;Now the national policy is obvious, that is, to build a financial power and do a good job in the stock market. This is the general trend. If you deny this, then don't speculate. Technical analysis is icing on the cake, and it won't be a gift in the snow. Therefore, it is reasonable to say that the role of technical analysis is only 20% whether stock trading makes money.If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.

Ordinary retail investors want to make money in the stock market. To put it bluntly, it is time for space. Insist on buying high-quality assets in batches in the extremely undervalued range to ensure that the purchase cost is lower than the intrinsic value, then ignore short-term fluctuations and wait for the value to return until the stock price is significantly higher than the intrinsic value. After thinking about this, in fact, many seemingly complicated problems will be much simpler.The current position of the market is in the circle. Generally speaking, when the market starts to rise, it is always unconscious to most people, because many people are aware of it after seeing the facts. It used to be said that stock trading is "seven-point mentality, two-point technology and one-point luck". I think this statement is correct, but in A shares, it is more accurate to change the mentality to policy+mentality. Although the stock markets all over the world are policy markets, A shares are more obvious.According to the market style rotation in the first half of the year, the non-mainstream styles are short-lived rotation. In the first half of the year, the mainstream dividend was high, and it was a new low after the rapid rotation of other industries. Now, the same high dividend is not cost-effective. After the rapid rotation, the market opportunity will still be the mainstream theme, low price and small ticket style. This is the decision of incremental funds, and incremental funds will definitely not engage in high-ranking institutions and the direction of the national team's heavy position.